Sunday, June 7, 2015

Global Risk 2


Quotation:
"Underlying social fragility is also the accelerating pace of change, growing complexity and the deepening extent of global interdependence, which together reduce people’s feeling of control over their immediate environment and hence their sense of stability and security."
"Rising structural unemployment drives both inequality and social pressures. Lower economic growth and technological change are likely to keep unemployment high in the future, also in developing countries."
"The effects associated with climate change will put further pressure on societies. "
Question:
Why we keeping changing the technology when unemployment keepiong rising higher and higher. Why don't we just focus to solve that main problems about economy an job instead of develop the technology ?

Quotation:
"Geopolitical risks can have cascading impacts on other risks. As state structures are challenged by conflict, the risk of the failure of national governance and state collapse or crisis can increase in areas where current state boundaries do not necessarily reflect popular self-identification."
"A recent example is Iraq and Syria, where ISIS has claimed control of territory and attracted 20,000 to 30,000 fighters from a near standing start."
Question:
What is the reason for funding in upgrade weapon with massive destruction ? Weapon is for defense or war ?

Quotation:
"The global unemployment rate is expected to remain at current levels until 2018"
"The risks of a failure of a major financial mechanism of institutions and fiscal crises are perceived as equally impactful and likely as in last year’s report, yet other risks, such as water crises, interstate conflict and the failure of climate-change adaptation, have taken centre stage."
Question:
Is limitation of money debt in specific country can solve this problem, while there are many country have high debt like Greece or China still not able to pay, and we are running our of money ?

Quotation:
"Both water crises and failure of climate-change adaptation are also perceived as more likely and impactful than average. Global water requirements are projected to be pushed beyond sustainable water supplies by 40% by 2030."
"The nexus of food, water, energy and climate change has been identified by the US National Intelligence Council as one of four overarching mega trends that will shape the world in 2030."
Question:
We know that overfishing, deforestation and other ecosystems destructions are harmful to the environment, such as biodiversity loss and climate change, so why don't we stop that when there are already have the solution ?

Quotation:
"While the “Internet of Things” (IoT) will deliver innovations, it will also entail new risks. Analytics on large and disparate data sources can drive breakthrough insights but also raise questions about expectations of privacy and the fair and appropriate use of data about individuals."
"An important characteristic of global risks, which transpires across the cases included in this report, is their interconnectedness, shown in the Interconnections Map"
Question:
Nowaday, the technology has improved to the really high level of development, development is good, but will keep developing technology will solve all the problems, or gradually changing and replacing human, and increase unemployment ?








Friday, June 5, 2015

Global Risk

The significant increase in the negative reviews of the experts for the preparation of fact to deal with challenges such as extreme weather and climate change.Meanwhile, worries about the economic risks like chronic unemployment situation, the lack of jobs or the financial crisis remain the same as last year but undiminished. 


According to the infographic, we can see that the energy price shock increases every day and that means that energy is very rarely now. Discharges is the failure of the financial mechanism and failure of critical infrastructure also increases.
In the other hand, the positive part of it is that the financial crisis and unemployment tends to decline gradually. And the question is, economics are as impactful and likely as other crisis ?


Let's have a look on the next graph. At this graph, we can see that there are not many factors in technological risks like others. The critical information and infrastructure breakdown rising slightly also like the cyber attack around the world. This problem is easily showed as the Anonymous, a group of professional hackers who have many attack on popular website, especially website of government, and other social networks. Besides, the data fraud or theft somehow decreased gradually because recently the website called The Pirate Bay had been shut down and its founders were arrested. Is there any technology crime out there, for terrorism purpose, still working on a big project, that e still not know about ? The Pirate Bay is just the beginning ? Is technology development actually improve our daily life ?


For the last graph, the risk have risen since 2014 significantly. The big problem and so the reason for these changes are climate and atmosphere changed. In fact, water crisis is the biggest problem, has been happening in California for 4 and still keep continue till right now. They are running out water due to the drought for long time. Farming because of this, are way more difficult to reduce, and that lead to lacks of food. But positively, the failure of urban planning has drop fast and may be ended in the future. The question for this, will the balance of global economy help solve the economic crisis ?